CA-39 is a safe Democratic seat covering inland Riverside County — from Riverside and Moreno Valley east to Perris, Menifee, and Lake Elsinore. Incumbent Mark Takano (D) has held the district or its predecessor since 2013 and enjoys strong institutional support.[1]
Key dynamics:
- Mark Takano (65) is the heavy favorite with $649K raised and broad support from labor, environmental, and progressive groups.
- Steve Manos (54), the Republican Mayor of Menifee, is running a shoestring campaign on a platform of public safety and fiscal conservatism.
- The district's Democratic lean (Harris +10 in 2024) makes a general election challenge extremely difficult for any Republican.
- Likely outcome: Takano and Manos advance to November, with Takano heavily favored to win re-election.
Primary: June 2, 2026 — General: November 3, 2026