This is the least competitive of California's 2026 statewide races. Incumbent Malia Cohen (D) is heavily favored to win both the primary and general election. The key dynamics:
- Cohen has $1.2M cash, the full Democratic establishment behind her, and a strong electoral record (55.3% in 2022). Her tenure has been scandal-free with tangible accomplishments (cleared financial report backlog, expanded unclaimed property program).
- Herb Morgan (R) is running on a transparency/anti-fraud platform with some innovative technology ideas (blockchain ledgers, AI monitoring). However, no Republican has won a statewide race in California since 2006, and he faces a 3:1 fundraising disadvantage.
- Meghann Adams (P&F) offers a socialist alternative with union financial experience, but has raised under $16K and got only 3.6% in her 2022 statewide run.
Cohen and Morgan will almost certainly be the top-two finishers and advance to November, where Cohen is the strong favorite to win a second term.
Primary: June 2, 2026 — General: November 3, 2026