This is an incumbent vs. retired sergeant race. Shannon Dicus has been sheriff since 2021 (elected 2022 with 74.3%), has a strong record of modernization and growth, and has the official deputies union endorsement. Joe Silva is running as a reformer promising to cut waste and improve deputy morale, claiming rank-and-file support.
- Dicus's advantage: Strong campaign infrastructure, law enforcement endorsements, editorial board support, and a record of modernization (body cameras, AI, drones, new dispatch center). His 34 years at every rank and 74.3% mandate give him institutional credibility.
- Silva's opening: Deputy morale is the key battleground — Dicus points to union endorsements and department growth; Silva claims a "vote of no confidence." His specific examples of wasteful spending (printers, brake jobs) could resonate, and his personal story connects with diverse communities.
- Turnout factor: In a low-turnout primary with no presidential race at the top of the ticket, the incumbent advantage is significant. Dicus has a well-funded campaign and name recognition from the 2022 race.
- Key question: Can Silva convince voters that morale is broken enough to replace a sheriff with strong union backing and a clear modernization record? Or will Dicus's institutional support and 74.3% mandate carry him to another term?
Likely outcome: Dicus re-elected outright in the primary or easily wins a November runoff. Silva's campaign lacks the infrastructure to mount a serious challenge, though his message may keep the margin closer than 2022.
Primary: June 2, 2026 — General: November 3, 2026